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Showing posts with label Arab Spring. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Arab Spring. Show all posts

Sunday, January 15, 2012

Boko Haram is Not Just Another local Islamist Movement

Recent commentary has reminded us that Boko Haram is not an Al Aqeda or even a regional Islamist movement, but overflow from simmering local ethnic and political disputes in Nigeria. While I agree with this assessment, in the context of the larger next calpihate Islamist movement, their points are irrelevant, and dawdling on these distractions delays us from any real action that will disarm Boko Haram.

Ye:s Boko Haram is fueled by lasting local disputes, but understand also that Al Qaeda and their regional affiliates have been raising funds, providing military training, and transporting arms to Boko Haram for nearly a decade.  They offer to help in local issues, but al Qaeda trains an army that they later persuade to engage in global Jihad. This pattern has been repeated in a dozen places, most notably with AQIM in West Africa and Al Shabaab in the Horn of Africa.

Look for later "local Islamist militias" to arise in Cameroon, South Africa, Tanzania, in addition to The Countries impacted by the Arab Spring like Tunisia, Libya and Egypt. They all begin with local issues irising from aleged or real oppression of Islamic populations. "The Brotherhhood" will first come to their aid, and the Ikhwan will introduce them to people who will begin to help local groups train. The process that eventually creates an Al Qaeda-friendly military organization  moves on from there.

Here is how to interrupt the process:

  • Watch Ikhwan Dawa Activites
  • Follow traditional Lebanese - Hezbollah business shipments carefully
  • Follow Known Al Qaeda trainers and bomb makers in Africa
  • Work with oppressed local Muslim populations in Africa to address issues, and educate their leaders on al Qaeda's agenda, which is to train and enlist them in Global Jihad, which will attract Western military action to their people.
The Long War, as it grows in Africa, must be understood and addressed in a strategically comprehensive and Cohesive way. Pretending that every new African Islamist group is an isolated and separate situation works to al Qaeda's benefit. In Africa, treating a skin puncture injury in isolation without  understanding that it is the entry source for  a deadly infection can be life threatening. This is true for the body, and for the Islamist Disease in the Africa community of nations as well.

- Shimron Issachar

Wednesday, August 31, 2011

Al Qaeda has Decided to Claim the Arab Spring

AQIM , AQAP , Hamas and al Qaeda leadership seem to have fallen into a decision about what to do about the Arab Spring. They are using the Hezbollah Spin.

in 2000, Israel unilaterally left the occupation of Southern Lebanon in accordance with a UN negotiated agreement. Though they neither defeated Israel nor caused them to withdraw, Hezbollah followed Israeli troops out of Lebanon shouting victory slogans. Anti-Israel (or anti-zionist) factions around the world, desperate for some sort of victory, began to repeat Hezbollah's spin that they themselves had driven Israel out of Lebanon. Hezbollah status and prestige gained from the myth continues to this day.

Today, Al Qaeda affiliates around the world are beginning to take credit for the Arab Spring in their recruiting propganda, claiming that they have "planted the seeds" of the rebellion."

While it's true the al Qaeda created an overall strategy that included dealing with "apostate secular states" like Egypt, Tunisia and Syria, (See 7 Steps) they had been unable to gain any traction in secular states with an Islamic majority population. The Arab Spring was a surprise to the West and Islamist activists alike.

Watch now for other anti-zionists to feed into the newest myth, that The Arab Spring was the fruit of an Islamist idea.
-Shimron Issachar

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Al-Qaida in North Africa seeks Arab Spring jihad

By ELAINE GANLEY

PARIS (AP) - Al-Qaida in the Islamic Maghreb wants to put its footprint on the Arab Spring now that violence is fueling the uprisings, and in a two-part video is trying to lure new followers for revolt by jihad.

The push comes as the group has sought to expand its operations beyond its Algerian base and desert outposts to countries around Africa, from Nigeria to Libya, after the death of Osama bin Laden and after being sidelined when the Arab revolts erupted earlier this year.

During the mostly peaceful uprisings in Tunisia and Egypt, the al-Qaida offshoot kept up sporadic attacks on Algerian security forces in its bid to overthrow the government and install an Islamist state. But the world was looking elsewhere.

Now, with Arab uprisings meeting increasingly violent resistance from autocratic regimes in countries such as Libya and Syria, AQIM wants to be seen as an alternative force.

Seeking a peaceful change of leaders is "like giving aspirin to a cancer patient," a member of AQIM's military board, Commander Abu Saeed al-Auresi, says in the lengthy video, according to the SITE Intelligence Group. SITE has made the video available and said it was posted Aug. 3 on jihadist forums.

AQIM has entered a new phase and is no longer on the defensive, says Mathieu Guidere, an expert in strategic monitoring and al-Qaida specialist.

Despite repeated threats, the group has provided no evidence it is capable of striking across the Mediterranean into Europe. But with bin Laden's death, Guidere said, AQIM promised to lead a military and media offensive in the north, south, east and west of the African continent.

And, he argues, that is happening, with stepped up attacks on soldiers in Algeria - the north - in Mauritania - the west - as well as in Libya - the east - where the movement allegedly sent a "minimal" number of fighters.

To the south, AQIM offered training, men and weapons in January 2010 to a feared Islamist sect in Nigeria called Boko Haram, the local Hausa language for "Western education is sacrilege," according to an AQIM statement provided by SITE. It was signed by AQIM's leader, Abelmalek Droukdel, using his nom de guerre Abu Musab Abdul Wadud, who evoked "the duty to support Muslims everywhere."

Boko Haram has significantly raised its profile since the offer with numerous deadly attacks.

There is no sign of a formal AQIM partnership with Boko Haram. British authorities said this month they were investigating a video claiming an unspecified al-Qaida group was holding a Briton and Italian man kidnapped in Nigeria in May.

AQIM stepped up deadly attacks in Algeria in spring and registered more attacks in July than any time this year, according to Guidere. He counts attacks throughout AQIM territory, including in the desert Sahel region south of Algeria - which crosses Mauritania, Niger and Mali, where hostage-taking is a main source of revenue. Four French hostages, captured in September 2010 in Niger, are still being held, possibly in Mali.

For Guidere, AQIM has found a new legitimacy that it had lost at the start of the then-peaceful Arab Spring. Its message is that people can demonstrate in vain against dictators or choose jihad.

"For me, this video is a turning point in the (AQIM) propaganda," Guidere said, because it is looking for a new way to reach the people.

"AQIM is an elitist organization that believes it is chosen by God," he said, adding that it always presented its heroes as "exceptional." Now, "they want to mix the images of popular revolution and AQIM to show that they are the same."

Part I of the nearly two-hour propaganda film shows protest rallies throughout the Arab world. It includes contrasting footage of various Arab leaders in clubby poses, from Algerian President Abdelaziz Bouteflika kissing Egypt's now-deposed leader Hosni Mubarak to former French President Jacques Chirac shaking hands with the ousted Tunisian president, Zine El Abidine Ben Ali.

Part II addresses efforts by the United States, France and Algeria to counter AQIM in the lawless Sahel region, but contrasts that with a deadly July 4, 2009 raid by AQIM's southern arm in Mali that killed 29 soldiers.

For senior SITE analyst Adam Raisman, it is less the message than the medium - a video - that is a departure from previous AQIM propaganda. Audio messages supported the Tunisians as January protests forced their strong-armed leader to flee into exile.

In what could be another part of AQIM's bid to appeal to new recruits, the video shows AQIM leader Droukdel taking part in what is claimed to be an April 15 attack on an Algerian army outpost - carried out as the Algerian president gave a speech announcing constitutional and electoral reforms to calm daily demonstrations around the country. The attack near the town of Azazga, some 80 kilometers (50 miles) east of Algiers in the mountainous Kabyle region - an AQIM stronghold - left 13 soldiers dead.

It is rare to see an al-Qaida branch leader fighting alongside his men, Raisman said.

Members of jihadist forums "were exhilarated to see him participating in battle, leading the charge," Raisman said. "He's firing his gun, he's hiding behind a rock, he's talking on a walkie-talkie, issuing orders. He's defiant."

Often graying, aging fighters shown in the Arabic-language videos are filmed on their sorties through the craggy forested hills of Algeria's Kabyle region or in the Mali desert, accompanied in the videos by taped songs. As in other AQIM propaganda videos, the viewer is not spared the bloody bodies of attack victims and booty taken from the corpses, displayed and recorded almost tenderly by the camera.

The video by AQIM's media arm is titled "Assault Them Through the Gate, For When You Are In, Victory Will be Yours." Using a Quranic reference, AQIM pleads for frontal action, not peaceful uprisings, to bring change. A photo of bin Laden, and scenes of him walking in rugged terrain, punctuate the videos.

The North African al-Qaida affiliate was born in late 2006 out of the last remaining Algerian insurgency movement still organized enough to do harm, the Salafist Group for Call and Combat. Pledging its allegiance to bin Laden's operation provided new dynamism for an increasingly battered insurgency movement.

Today, AQIM, like other al-Qaida arms, claims it set the spark for the uprisings around the Arab world.

Copyright 2011 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

Wednesday, May 18, 2011

AQIM Squad Hits Tunisia Checkpoint

(Reuters) - Men who opened fire on Tunisian officers in the north of the country on Wednesday were suspected members of Al Qaeda, a security source told Reuters.

The group of nine armed men killed four military and policemen at a checkpoint, the source said, revising an earlier figure. Three of the assailants were killed.

The men were thought to be members of al Qaeda in the Islamic Magreb (AQIM), the source said.

The Rest @ Reuters

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